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Is this the peak?

Submitted by: MikeC (Admin) on 15-Nov-07 04:33:51 PM

Sigh... I hate doing these updates now. Apart from being de-moralising, it's just plain boring to write! Hey-ho, here we go.

Numbers of DEAs

Reminder: The last DEA numbers update was 11 working days ago.

Assessor Numbers as of 15th Nov 2007
StageNumber of assessors/candidates
Accredited

5,794 (+304)

Qualified

907 (-68)

Passed exams

3,859 (+137)

Total in system who have passed exams or progressed further

10,560 (+373)

Accreditation slowdown: Previously, they rose by 340 (down from 494); this time: 304 - So now we definitely can say there is a trend (down), but a slow trend nonetheless.

Total growth rising: Previously, numbers rose by 439 (up from 67); now, this number too, appears to be on the way down: 373.

DEAs by Region

DEAs accredited by region
RegionNumber Accredited as of 15th Nov 2007
North West 708 (+33)
North East 277 (+17)
Yorkshire & the Humber 468 (+19)
East Midlands 421 (+37)
West Midlands 540 (+22)
East of England 600 (+37)
London 463 (+24)
South East 951 (+47)
South West 702 (+42)
Wales 324 (+19)
Unknown 340 (+7)
Total 5794 (+304)

The last given Govt excuse for holding back a full HIP roll-out was the shortage of London Domestic Energy Assessors. Interesting that this update sees an increase of 24 DEAs which is a slowdown from the 32 reported last time.

What's the real number of available DEAs?

Dunno about you but I think we've more or less peaked, but...

If the Govt doesn't hit the go button immediately there could be a real danger of the shortage problem re-emerging because of the growing numbers of DEAs already being forced to leave the industry through financial hardship.

And that is a number we cannot know with any degree of accuracy until their next accreditation fee is due - Next year, no doubt.

Another real problem will be how many DEAs are in a financial position to actually service any additional volume of EPC instructions (ya gotta hope, haven't you!) until they are likely to be paid... most probably next year!

The above does raise two interesting questions:

  1. If there is a "hidden" collapse of numbers (or has been), will fees rise?
  2. OTOH, will there be a flood of new accreditations? There are around 5000 non-accredited DEAs as I write so there's plenty of them to fill the gaps.

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Posts: 1
Comment
Re: Is this the peak?
Reply #1 on : Thu November 15, 2007, 18:02:02
There are already many more accreditted DEA's than the government said was necessary for the total roll out (due to their panic at the end of May)and nearly 5,000 more in the pipeline, yet still I see Training establishments offering to train aspiring DEA's, and suggesting that they can earn anything from £50k to £200k p.a. They must be stopped before every house has its own DEA.

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